{"id":21420,"date":"2022-02-08T00:25:00","date_gmt":"2022-02-08T00:25:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/?p=21420"},"modified":"2022-02-04T12:58:11","modified_gmt":"2022-02-04T12:58:11","slug":"sefii-la-inflatie-politici-monetare-si-geopolitici","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/?p=21420","title":{"rendered":"\u0218efii la infla\u021bie – politici monetare \u0219i geopolitici"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Se cam vede infla\u021bia pe la col\u021buri, de\u0219i BCE o arde \u00een continuare cu vr\u0103jeli gen \u201dinfla\u021bie tranzitorie\u201d – OK, dac\u0103 e a\u0219a, c\u00e2nd scad pre\u021burile, sau c\u00e2nd scade m\u0103car \u00eenfla\u021bia? Nu?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Se vede \u00een toat\u0103 lumea, c\u0103 a fost politic\u0103 global\u0103 \u00een perioada covidului – \u201dhai s\u0103 d\u0103m, c\u0103 vedem noi de unde\u201d. Eh, e ok…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Acum problema covidului fiind rezolvat\u0103, ne-am \u00eenv\u0103\u021bat cu el, cu mor\u021bii, cu bolitul \u0219i cu m\u0103surile ( \u00een sensul \u0103sta rezolvat\u0103), r\u0103m\u00e2ne faptul c\u0103 infla\u021bia asta nu dispare, ca s\u0103 fie un efect tranzitoriu, dec\u00e2t dac\u0103 excluzi cauzele:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bani fabrica\u021bi pentru diferite pachete de stimulente, reducerea dob\u00e2nzilor de referin\u021b\u0103 pentru a nu pr\u0103bu\u0219i pie\u021bele imobiliare \u00eentr-o perioad\u0103 \u00een care oamenii trebuie izola\u021bi \u00een case , nu pe str\u0103zi – ‘member 2008.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Americanii zic c\u0103 SE G\u00c2NDESC s\u0103 creasc\u0103 dob\u00e2nda de referin\u021b\u0103, unul din mecanismele cu care mai reduci un pic din \u00eemprumuturi, masa monetar\u0103 care circul\u0103 aiurea, etc. Dar nu chiar repede c\u0103 pic\u0103 bursa \u0219i n-au apucat s\u0103-\u0219i scoa\u021b\u0103 banii membrii forurilor politice de reglementare \u0219i cei din pozi\u021biile care nu mai au voie s\u0103 de\u021bin\u0103 ac\u021biuni la burs\u0103 pentru c\u0103 sunt golan<\/a><\/strong>i. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cehii au m\u0103rit un pic rata dob\u00e2nzii de referin\u021b\u0103<\/a>, la fel \u0219i Rom\u00e2ni<\/a>a, ceea ce nu-i r\u0103u, c\u0103 tempereaz\u0103 un pic cre\u0219terile unor pre\u021buri, cum ar fi \u0103lea de la case. M\u0103 rog, dac\u0103 ai case ca investi\u021bii \u00een Rom\u00e2nia, ghinion \u0219i de data asta – \u00een ceea ce m\u0103 prive\u0219te prefer o \u021bar\u0103 cu case ieftine, c\u0103 altfel o s\u0103 v\u0103 explic eu o dat\u0103 unde se ajunge… minunatele case \u0219i minuna\u021bii oameni din UK, pi\u0219a-m-as pe investi\u021biile lor, scuza\u021bi limbajul academic. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Din p\u0103cate, cre\u0219terea do\u00e2nzii de referin\u021b\u0103 nu va reduce pre\u021bul la energie \u0219i cu asta basta. Deci infla\u021bia nu pleac\u0103 anul \u0103sta c\u0103 nu are pe unde s\u0103 ias\u0103. OPECII cresc produc\u021bia de petrol<\/a>, ceea ce \u00ceN TEORIE ar putea ajuta la temperarea pre\u021burilor la energie, dac\u0103 \u021b\u0103rile din UE, ar \u00eenchide un pic ochii la \u021binta de verzificare \u00eenainte s\u0103 fie mucifica\u021bi de propria politic\u0103 ecologic\u0103 \u0219i-ar da un pic cu fum de petrol \u0219i eventual de c\u0103rbune. Dar eu n-a\u0219 paria pe asta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A\u0219 paria c\u0103 o s\u0103 fie tot scump, context \u00een care trecerea pe tot felul de c\u0103caturi electrice, c\u0103 de \u00eenc\u0103lzire, c\u0103 solu\u021bii de business \u0219i industrie, o s\u0103 fac\u0103 tot mai tare cu ochiul. Cu ochiul \u0103la maro \u0219i nesp\u0103lat \u00een care \u00ee\u021bi \u00eenfigi pula \u0219i o umpli de… taxe. Taxe verzi desigur. Da, limbajul. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Limbajul e o form\u0103 de comunicare prin care statele ascund infla\u021bia real\u0103 focaliz\u00e2nd pe indicatori sintetici. Infla\u021bia real\u0103 se construie\u0219te la magazin, un raport FAO<\/a> arat\u0103 c\u0103 pre\u021bul la alimente e sus, foarte sus, cel mai sus \u00een ultimii 10 ani. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

E groas\u0103 treaba nu pentru c\u0103 se scumpe\u0219te carnea, ci pentru c\u0103 se scumpesc cerealele, c\u0103 ghici cu ce sunt crescute animalele \u0103lea ( ignora\u021bi reclamele cu vaci care pasc iarb\u0103 verde). \u0218i \u0219ti\u021bi cu ce sunt produse cerealele \u0103lea? Nu, nu cu soare. Cu tractorul pe motorin\u0103 \u0219i cu \u00eengr\u0103\u0219\u0103minte chimice.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Anul trecut \u0219i acum doi ani un prieten a construit ni\u0219te silozuri. Cred ca ar fi o idee bun\u0103 s\u0103 construiesc \u0219i eu unele. I-am spus lui tata s\u0103 cure\u021be din cereale \u0219i s\u0103 mai v\u00e2nd\u0103 c\u0103 nu mai avem loc \u00een p\u0103tule. Nu \u0219tiu dac\u0103 a fost cea mai \u00een\u021beleapt\u0103 idee. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pentru mine tot conondrumul \u0103sta de scumpiri \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u00e2teva chestii. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

  1. C\u00e2nd faci pula mare c\u0103-i impui sanc\u021biuni Rusiei, \u00ee\u021bi tragi pre\u0219ul de sub cur. Nu sunt pro-rus \u0219i nu cred c\u0103 ar trebui sl\u0103bi\u021bi pentru c\u0103 depindem de gazul lor. Mai bine cu infla\u021bie \u0219i s\u0103-\u0219i bage gazul \u00een cur. Ar trebui pur \u0219i simplu refuza\u021bi. <\/li>
  2. Nu cred c\u0103 Europa e preg\u0103tit\u0103 pentru ce viseaz\u0103 s\u0103 fac\u0103 pe linie de amprent\u0103 de carbon. Dac\u0103 sco\u021bi gazul din poz\u0103 rezult\u0103 o lume cam scump\u0103 pentru care n-avem bani. Iar asta e doar un preview asupra a cum cred c\u0103 va ar\u0103ta lumea \u201dverde\u201d de dincolo de 2040. Ce se va \u00eent\u00e2mpla va fi c\u0103 vom str\u00e2nge cureaua, nu c\u0103 vom tr\u0103i mai curat \u0219i mai frumos. Vom polua mai pu\u021bin c\u0103 cam at\u00e2t ne vom permite. Desigur, \u0103sta e un comentariu generalist. <\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n

    Cu privire la 2, dac\u0103 locuie\u0219ti ca mine \u00een vestul Europei, intr-o cas\u0103 \u00een ora\u0219 care cost\u0103 juma de milion , sau ceva de genul, s-ar putea ca banii t\u0103i s\u0103 mearg\u0103 \u00een direc\u021bia gre\u0219it\u0103. Nu sus\u021bin sau cred c\u0103 se vor ieftini astea, habar nu am cum va percepe lumea via\u021ba \u0219i ceva \u00eemi spune c\u0103 cei mai mul\u021bi vor accepta s\u0103r\u0103cia \u0219i \u201dfrugalitatea\u201d va deveni noua marota \u0219i propaganda a umanit\u0103\u021bii. Cam cum e acum treaba asta cu \u201deco\u201d. Burgerii de plastic\/vegetali sunt deja aici, s\u0103 fii vegan e o mod\u0103, c\u0103 vrei s\u0103 tr\u0103ie\u0219ti o via\u021b\u0103 lung\u0103 s\u0103 te po\u021bi bucura de s\u0103r\u0103cie la adev\u0103rata ei valoare c\u00e2t mai mult. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Sunt chiar curios ce crede omul de r\u00e2nd c\u0103 se va \u00eent\u00e2mpla mai incolo c\u00e2nd chiar va trebui renun\u021bat la gazul rusesc, \u00een ideea \u00een care trebuie s\u0103 fim to\u021bi verzi, s\u0103 ne \u00eenc\u0103lzim cu soare \u0219i b\u0103\u0219ini eco. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Sper ca \u00eenc\u0103lzirea global\u0103 s\u0103 compenseze frigul din case \u0219i din inimi, lol. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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    Se cam vede infla\u021bia pe la col\u021buri, de\u0219i BCE o arde \u00een continuare cu vr\u0103jeli gen \u201dinfla\u021bie tranzitorie\u201d – OK, dac\u0103 e a\u0219a, c\u00e2nd scad…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":8722,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[3499,3539,500,170],"tags":[4742,4744,4743],"class_list":["post-21420","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economie","category-energie","category-self","category-politice","tag-inflatia-2022","tag-pretul-la-cereale-2022","tag-pretul-la-energie-2022"],"views":1291,"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/money-timebomb3.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4Eq23-5zu","jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21420","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=21420"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21420\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":21421,"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21420\/revisions\/21421"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/8722"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=21420"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=21420"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=21420"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}