{"id":23170,"date":"2022-10-02T06:18:34","date_gmt":"2022-10-02T05:18:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/?p=23170"},"modified":"2022-10-02T13:22:48","modified_gmt":"2022-10-02T12:22:48","slug":"care-ai-spart-ba-nord-streamu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/?p=23170","title":{"rendered":"Care-ai spart, b\u0103, Nord Streamu’?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Nu cred c\u0103 o s\u0103 afl\u0103m \u00een perioada urm\u0103toare informa\u021bii care s\u0103 indice cu \u00eencredere un vinovat. O s\u0103 dureze p\u00e2n\u0103 la pulivar\u0103 investiga\u021bia, iar vara vine de obicei abia dup\u0103 iarna nuclear\u0103 \u0219i oricum, o s\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2nem cu ideile din media \u0219i conspira\u021biile aferente. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ru\u0219ii zic c\u0103 americanii, americanii \u0219i europenii zic c\u0103 ru\u0219ii, iar situa\u021bia e c\u0103 mai multe \u021b\u0103ri au ceva motive. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eu m\u0103 uit de la problema costurilor. Nordstream 1 e de\u021binut\u0103 de Nordstream AG ( companie elve\u021bian\u0103) unde Gazprom era ac\u021bionar cu 50%, restul fiind de\u021binut de BASF, E.ON \u0219i N.V. cu diferite procente – deci fifty-fifty intre Rusia si europeni. La intrebarea cine a platit conducta, r\u0103spunsul e complicat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

30% a fost finan\u021bat\u0103 \u00een avans de ac\u021bionari, conform procentelor de de\u021binere. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Restul de 70% , la care \u00eenc\u0103 se pl\u0103tesc rate din ce am citit (credit pe 16.5 ani – dac\u0103 nu or fi prelungit<\/a>). Sunt 26 de b\u0103nci implicate \u00een \u00eemprumut, majoritatea europene, niciuna ruseasc\u0103. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prin urmare, europenii cam trag ponoasele pe mai multe p\u0103r\u021bi. Ru\u0219ii au avut finan\u021barea ini\u021biala, restul s-a finan\u021bat din opera\u021bional, \u00een condi\u021biile \u0103stea Nord Stream AG se poate declara insolvent, la fel ca \u0219i Nord Stream 2 AG.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mai e aspectul devers\u0103rii de gaz metan – Rusia are acum ni\u0219te gaz cu care nu are ce face. \u00cel arde, dar ca s\u0103 arzi\u00ee\u021bi trebuie capacitate de ardere. E estimat c\u0103 se deverseaz\u0103 mai mult de 100 de tone pe ora. Chestia asta e at\u00e2t de futut\u0103 din perspectiva dezastrului de mediu, \u00eenc\u00e2t nici nu are rost s\u0103 vorbim despre asta c\u0103 m\u0103 enervez c\u00e2nd aud de net zero \u0219i cum eu trebuie s\u0103 pl\u0103tesc taxe pe CO2. Metanul are un efect de ser\u0103 de circa 80 de ori <\/strong> mai pronun\u021bat dec\u00e2t CO2-ul. Deci 100tone\/h \u00eenseamn\u0103 cam ca 8000\/ tone de CO2 pe or\u0103. Dac\u0103 treaba asta r\u0103sufl\u0103 6 luni, c\u00e2t zic \u0103\u0219tia c\u0103 dureaz\u0103 repara\u021biile pot s\u0103 m\u0103 duc s\u0103-mi cump\u0103r un avion personal Boeing 747 \u0219i s\u0103 m\u0103 plimb cu el la supermarket c\u0103 nu mai conteaz\u0103. Probabil or s\u0103 sigileze \u021bevile \u0103lea c\u00e2ndva mai devreme, dar \u00eentre timp Putin mai face de-ale lui. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pe de alt\u0103 parte, Putin acuz\u0103 US c\u0103 a spart \u021bevile ca s\u0103 v\u00e2nd\u0103 ei mai mult LNG. Din motivul \u0103sta NU. C\u0103 , \u00een momentul \u0103sta UE ar cump\u0103ra mai mult LNG de la US, dac\u0103 ar putea, dar nu pot. Deci nu e aia, iar glitch-ul \u0103sta de ra\u021bionament m\u0103 face s\u0103 cred c\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 la urm\u0103 ar putea fi ru\u0219ii. De\u0219i, dac\u0103 ar face-o \u0219i-ar pierde capacitatea de \u0219antaj. N-ai ce s\u0103 negociezi cu \u021beava spart\u0103. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Din punctul \u0103sta de vedere, de\u0219i n-am cum s\u0103 \u0219tiu, dac\u0103 ar fi s\u0103 pariez, a\u0219 paria pe americani c\u0103 au mai multe avantaje \u0219i s-au opus mai demult proiectelor, pentru ca Europa s\u0103 nu-\u0219i creasc\u0103 dependen\u021ba de Rusia, at\u00e2ta c\u0103 acum trebuie s\u0103 ne re\u0219tem dependen\u021ba de ei. Or fi ei prietenii no\u0219tri, dar ori\u0219ic\u00e2t. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Aici e \u0219i problema, c\u0103 mai multe p\u0103r\u021bi, inclusiv dintre statele europene, care s-au s\u0103turat s\u0103 \u00eei tot aud\u0103 pe nem\u021bi c\u0103 nu se poate s\u0103 renun\u021b\u0103m 100% la importurile de gaz din Rusia are interes , m\u0103car pe termen scurt s\u0103 cauzeze ceva de genul \u0103sta. Iar situa\u021biile \u0103stea au consecin\u021be nefaste, c\u0103 de obicei situa\u021bia treneaz\u0103 – \u0219i singurul lucru pe care putem s\u0103-l facem pe tem\u0103, \u00een afar\u0103 de pariuri pe cine i-a dat cep, e s\u0103 ne punem panouri solare, izola\u021bie \u0219i s\u0103 s\u0103p\u0103m un beci ad\u00e2nc, c\u0103 energia nu se ieftine\u0219te cur\u00e2nd. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0218i toat\u0103 lumea care are ceva miz\u0103 pe pia\u021ba energiei \u0219i cu m\u0103-sa, \u00een sinea lui \u00ee\u0219i freac\u0103 m\u00e2inile. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ceea ce face cam lipsit de importan\u021b\u0103 acum r\u0103spunsul la \u00eentrebarea cine-a \u00eenfipt laleaua \u00een br\u00e2nz\u0103 – trebuie doar s\u0103 presupunem c\u0103 ru\u0219ii – indiferent care o fi adev\u0103rul \u0219i s\u0103-i d\u0103m \u00eenainte. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nu cred c\u0103 o s\u0103 afl\u0103m \u00een perioada urm\u0103toare informa\u021bii care s\u0103 indice cu \u00eencredere un vinovat. O s\u0103 dureze p\u00e2n\u0103 la pulivar\u0103 investiga\u021bia, iar…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":18394,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[170],"tags":[5086],"class_list":["post-23170","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politice","tag-ecologie-la-maxim"],"views":1029,"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/russian_roulette1.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4Eq23-61I","jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23170","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=23170"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23170\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23171,"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23170\/revisions\/23171"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/18394"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=23170"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=23170"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=23170"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}