{"id":27431,"date":"2024-04-15T11:14:28","date_gmt":"2024-04-15T10:14:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/?p=27431"},"modified":"2024-04-15T11:14:33","modified_gmt":"2024-04-15T10:14:33","slug":"atacul-iranului-ca-supapa-de-siguranta-si-un-cost-impus","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/?p=27431","title":{"rendered":"Atacul Iranului ca supap\u0103 de siguran\u021b\u0103 \u0219i un cost impus"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Atacul <\/a>Israelului asupra consulatului iranian din Damasc e undeva la \u0219i dup\u0103 limita tratatelor interna\u021bionale. Ambasadele nu pot fi \u021bintele unor atacuri militare, c\u0103-s considerate obiective civile – p\u00e2n\u0103 c\u00e2nd statutul se schimb\u0103. Deasemenea e interzis ca \u021bara gazd\u0103 s\u0103 atace ambasada altui stat de pe teritoriul s\u0103u, mai mult are datoria de a o proteja. Consulatul iranian era \u00een siria, \u0103ia au omor\u00e2t un general – restul sunt colaterali – e un clusterfuck cum \u00eei place lui Netanyahu. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Iranul trebuia <\/strong>s\u0103 fac\u0103 ceva pe tem\u0103, e inacceptabil s\u0103-\u021bi d\u0103r\u00e2me inamicul consulatul dintr-o \u021bar\u0103 prieten\u0103 \u0219i tu s\u0103 te scarpini la pul\u0103. Dac\u0103 alegeau s\u0103 nu atace cu nimic, trebuia s\u0103 aib\u0103 alt plan de ac\u021biune, care \u00eenseamn\u0103 – escalarea tensiunilor, sau s\u0103 recunoasc\u0103 c\u0103 pot face doar buze reci – \u0219i nu prea e cazul – caz \u00een care urma s\u0103 aib\u0103 tensiuni interne. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

A\u0219a c\u0103 au ales asta – s\u0103 anun\u021be atacul \u0219i s\u0103-l execute. L-au anun\u021bat cu suficient timp \u00eenainte \u00eenc\u00e2t Israel s\u0103 aib\u0103 timp s\u0103-\u0219i adune to\u021bi prietenii de peste tot din zon\u0103 s\u0103 fac\u0103 defensiv\u0103 pentru ei, ceea ce s-a \u00eent\u00e2mplat. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Detractorii Iranului r\u00e2d c\u0103 n-au fost \u00een stare s\u0103 duc\u0103 nicio dron\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een Israel \u0219i au lovit cu c\u00e2teva burlane. OK. Asta s-a \u00eent\u00e2mplat cu capacit\u0103\u021bi de ap\u0103rare de la Israel, Iordania, US, UK, Fran\u021ba. 5 \u021b\u0103ri \u0219i-au concentrat eforturile din zon\u0103 s\u0103 blocheze barajul de rachete \u0219i drone trimis de Iran \u0219i au reu\u0219it.
\u0218i i-a costat cam 1 miliard de dolari<\/a>. Depinde pe cine intrebi. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pe Iran i-a costat intre $30,000 dolari drona, 80k o rachet\u0103 balistic\u0103 – la 300 de obiecte e sub 30 milioane de dolari, de mai putin de 10 ori costul defensivei. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pe scurt, treaba e a\u0219a – Israel au d\u0103r\u00e2mat un consulat \u0219i au omor\u00e2t un general \u0219i ceva dependen\u021bi, Iran i-a pus s\u0103 pl\u0103teasc\u0103 1 miliard de dolari. Costuri impuse, c\u0103 nu i-au \u00eentrebat dac\u0103-s de acord. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trebuia s\u0103 se r\u0103zbune. Israel a avut inten\u021bia de contra-atac, dar presupun c\u0103 l-a luat Biden de-o parte pe Bibi \u0219i i-a spus s\u0103-\u0219i \u021bin\u0103 caii c\u0103 e scump, la modul \u201d ‘ai gata, pl\u0103te\u0219te costul la demonstra\u021bia militar\u0103 \u0219i mucles. \u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ai atacat o ambasad\u0103, ai f\u0103cut pagube, asta e amenda. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u0103 vai, Iranul s-a f\u0103cut de c\u0103cat c\u0103 nu au reu\u0219it s\u0103 distrug\u0103 nimic \u0219i alte fonfleuri. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Iranul la faza asta s-au comportat ca ni\u0219te gentlemeni, ca un stat vestic civilizat: \u201dB\u0103ie\u021bi, vede\u021bi c\u0103 v\u0103 atac\u0103m, sunte\u021bi gata\u201d? Iar Israelului au \u00eenceput s\u0103-i sar\u0103 banii din conturi. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cine se uit\u0103 c\u0103 n-au distrus nimic, se uit\u0103 prea din scurt. Cine se uit\u0103 c\u0103 Iranul cu investi\u021bii de sub 30 milioane de dolari a f\u0103cut leverage de costuri la 1 miliard s-ar putea s\u0103 aib\u0103 alt\u0103 poz\u0103 \u00een cap. Anume c\u0103 majoritatea \u021b\u0103rilor nu au resursele Israelului + echipa de top a NATO cu ei \u0219i dac\u0103 o lunge\u0219ti de la 1 noapte la 1 lun\u0103 e rupere pe partea de defensiv\u0103. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Evident, \u00een r\u0103zboi real calculele se fac altfel, c\u0103 dau \u0219i \u0103ia pe care \u00eei ataci pe contra-atac, dar show-ul \u0103sta f\u0103r\u0103 \u00eendoial\u0103 va pune problema \u0219i a\u0219a \u0219i, partea proast\u0103 e c\u0103 de\u0219i ar fi trebuit s\u0103 de-escaleze tensiunile, nu-s sigur c\u0103 asta se \u00eent\u00e2mpl\u0103, \u00een contextul \u00een care Israel continu\u0103 r\u0103zboiul \u00een Gaza. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Atacul Israelului asupra consulatului iranian din Damasc e undeva la \u0219i dup\u0103 limita tratatelor interna\u021bionale. Ambasadele nu pot fi \u021bintele unor atacuri militare, c\u0103-s considerate…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":27432,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[170,4766],"tags":[5826,5827,5828],"class_list":["post-27431","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politice","category-razboi","tag-atacul-iranului-asupra-israel","tag-razboiul-din-gaza","tag-ww3"],"views":808,"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/iran-attacks-israel.png","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4Eq23-78r","jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27431","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=27431"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27431\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27433,"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27431\/revisions\/27433"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/27432"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=27431"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=27431"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/catalinx.ro\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=27431"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}